"The virus is growing exponentially" - erm, no, it isn't. That would be a growth function biting into an infinite pool of susceptibles. There are a range of epidemiological curves, these are growth functions biting into a shrinking pool of susceptibles. The Gompertz one is good but there are many others, none are exponential. A forgivable mistake in March 2020, but for crying out loud man, we've been over this repeatedly in the last 9 months.
The beauty of the epidemiological curves is they help you understand how pandemics normally end, that small is less ugly (I was going to say beautiful) in containing spread, and that seasonality is due to humans going through annual cycles of mixing.
He wants churches closed because singing will spread infection, seemingly unaware this has been banned for months. He makes a statement that churchgoers are much older than the general population (whatever that actually means) based on statistics only from the Church of England ignoring the large numbers of non-conformist and independent churches which are usually well populated by teens and young families.
He wants schools closed because he says there is some evidence that this strain spread more easily in children and the link given states only that there is a hint of this and also that caution should be exercised re this claim.
"The virus is growing exponentially" - erm, no, it isn't. That would be a growth function biting into an infinite pool of susceptibles. There are a range of epidemiological curves, these are growth functions biting into a shrinking pool of susceptibles. The Gompertz one is good but there are many others, none are exponential. A forgivable mistake in March 2020, but for crying out loud man, we've been over this repeatedly in the last 9 months.
The beauty of the epidemiological curves is they help you understand how pandemics normally end, that small is less ugly (I was going to say beautiful) in containing spread, and that seasonality is due to humans going through annual cycles of mixing.
Perhaps as well Twitter banned him.
He wants churches closed because singing will spread infection, seemingly unaware this has been banned for months. He makes a statement that churchgoers are much older than the general population (whatever that actually means) based on statistics only from the Church of England ignoring the large numbers of non-conformist and independent churches which are usually well populated by teens and young families.
He wants schools closed because he says there is some evidence that this strain spread more easily in children and the link given states only that there is a hint of this and also that caution should be exercised re this claim.
At this point I stopped reading.....